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How to Read Mixed Macro Signals - Actionable Macro!

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#Macro #S&P500 #MacroModel #BenchmarkModel #Labor #GDP #ISM #recession
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00:00 Introduction
01:10 The Story
01:36 Economic Update
02:43 Bear Markets occur when EPS declines
03:08 Confusing Signals
03:57 SPX Sales Slowing
04:27 Recession Coming or Not?
05:41 Largest YCI In History
07:00 Largest Wealth Destruction in History
07:20 Wages At Center of Battle Against Inflation
08:10 Wages Cooling - Good Sign!
08:49 January Jobs Report Red Hot
09:26 Dec 2022 Job Gains
10:03 From “Nobody Special Finance”
10:29 Govt Says 1.12M Jobs Created Q2 2022
10:52 March 2022 Job Gains
10:59 April 2022 Job Gains
11:06 May 2022 Job Gains
11:17 BLS Bombshell - Kept Quiet
12:33 Housing Payment to Income Ratio
13:25 Mortgage Rates are Coming Down However
13:45 Normal Financial Conditions & Low Unemployment
15:07 Goldman: Stocks Flat in 2023
15:34 Earnings & Fed Cut Expectations Are Low
17:05 Recession on or Not?
17:43 US Is A Services Economy
18:47 Services Price Pressure Remains Elevated
19:22 IA MACRO Model & IA Benchmark
20:40 Summary
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